Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 56.535560 64.532352 72.742882 81.768356 91.377709 101.272128 112.199561
2026-01-18 43.786126 55.098321 67.290523 81.262752 96.697435 113.106357 131.753913
2026-01-25 36.683036 49.793726 64.447378 81.739079 101.315181 122.554114 147.115502
2026-02-01 30.613086 44.787871 61.192148 81.071749 104.064637 129.441668 159.211290
2026-02-08 26.081341 41.008448 58.853251 80.996117 107.080670 136.283274 170.941267
2026-02-15 21.920450 37.199855 56.084974 80.068816 108.817776 141.430197 180.544797
2026-02-22 19.333552 35.113368 55.186071 81.171957 112.758491 148.962193 192.738236
2026-03-01 17.260128 33.479253 54.678070 82.604294 116.971381 156.717583 205.112750
2026-03-08 14.524029 30.622121 52.376186 81.629924 118.146119 160.808457 213.158589
2026-03-15 11.906431 27.623810 49.661408 79.948197 118.309661 163.587734 219.576349
2026-03-22 11.236177 27.509588 50.790390 83.153822 124.454262 173.453817 234.277933
2026-03-29 10.165343 26.637951 50.795137 84.840188 128.672245 180.989368 246.221184
2026-04-05 8.535802 24.673979 49.174044 84.344839 130.156350 185.265320 254.372422
2026-04-12 7.111400 22.860801 47.645796 83.884289 131.622998 189.481170 262.429467
2026-04-19 6.089544 21.620863 46.863726 84.359184 134.225999 195.039618 272.056118
2026-04-26 4.942527 19.940854 45.302684 83.681927 135.286468 198.664448 279.331478
2026-05-03 4.064859 18.637365 44.224626 83.604641 137.072502 203.145549 287.609078
2026-05-10 3.157373 17.053766 42.589024 82.661045 137.667461 206.109191 294.019943
2026-05-17 2.694192 16.412496 42.427750 83.783620 140.958041 212.411287 304.470415
2026-05-24 2.331062 15.943303 42.514619 85.241030 144.678798 219.244452 315.566048
2026-05-31 1.709989 14.561376 40.963627 84.249627 145.091314 221.898035 321.540503
2026-06-07 1.132383 13.007002 38.983970 82.538283 144.473885 223.207603 325.832666
2026-06-14 1.094145 13.307821 40.326118 85.800125 150.592201 233.052650 340.619267